Roseburg North Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Winchester. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 31 and the first fall freeze around November 5, a growing season of about 215 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last March 31, first November 5
- Median at 28°F
- last February 26, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 18 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 5 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 19 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 1 | Jan 11 |
| 24°F | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 | Dec 18 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Feb 15 | Jan 25 | Jan 13 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 20 | Dec 13 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 24 | Dec 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 10 |
| 24°F | Nov 12 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 6 | Jan 23 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 19 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 199 | 191 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 169 | 164 | 157 | 149 |
| 32°F | 254 | 241 | 230 | 222 | 215 | 210 | 203 | 196 | 187 |
| 28°F | 325 | 309 | 298 | 288 | 278 | 269 | 259 | 249 | 236 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 343 | 334 | 327 | 313 | 303 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 342 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 66% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 25% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,168
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 488
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,553
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,003
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,741
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,764
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,023
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 702 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 568 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 527 | 0 | 37 |
| April | 394 | 1 | 97 |
| May | 224 | 17 | 262 |
| June | 93 | 54 | 411 |
| July | 11 | 178 | 632 |
| August | 10 | 170 | 625 |
| September | 74 | 63 | 440 |
| October | 305 | 5 | 182 |
| November | 542 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 718 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.5 km from Roseburg North. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00359461 (Winchester). Public domain.