Pilot Rock Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pilot Rock 1 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 147 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 30, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 21, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 17 | May 12 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 26 | Jan 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 135 | 128 | 122 | 116 | 111 | 106 | 101 | 95 | 87 |
| 32°F | 169 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 137 | 132 | 123 |
| 28°F | 202 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 154 |
| 24°F | 245 | 235 | 228 | 222 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 198 | 189 |
| 20°F | 289 | 277 | 268 | 262 | 255 | 249 | 242 | 234 | 224 |
| 16°F | 331 | 315 | 305 | 296 | 289 | 281 | 272 | 265 | 253 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,333
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 567
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,006
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,684
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,597
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,732
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,061
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 904 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 745 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 643 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 464 | 1 | 68 |
| May | 255 | 17 | 241 |
| June | 105 | 63 | 409 |
| July | 16 | 223 | 672 |
| August | 19 | 205 | 651 |
| September | 123 | 54 | 384 |
| October | 418 | 3 | 119 |
| November | 708 | 0 | 19 |
| December | 933 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.9 km from Pilot Rock. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00356634 (Pilot Rock 1 Se). Public domain.