Ontario Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ontario Ksrv. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 168 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last April 6, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 |
| 20°F | Mar 16 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 163 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 132 | 122 |
| 32°F | 187 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 149 |
| 28°F | 219 | 210 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 181 | 175 |
| 24°F | 255 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 224 | 218 | 211 | 201 |
| 20°F | 291 | 281 | 274 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 250 | 244 | 234 |
| 16°F | 325 | 312 | 304 | 297 | 290 | 283 | 276 | 269 | 260 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,788
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 921
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,280
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,091
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,072
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,215
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,499
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,108 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 847 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 656 | 0 | 15 |
| April | 436 | 1 | 87 |
| May | 190 | 40 | 323 |
| June | 48 | 144 | 546 |
| July | 4 | 368 | 829 |
| August | 11 | 296 | 750 |
| September | 98 | 70 | 425 |
| October | 457 | 2 | 93 |
| November | 826 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,107 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2 km from Ontario. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00356294 (Ontario Ksrv). Public domain.