Mulino Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Molalla 7NE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 16 and the first fall freeze around November 19, a growing season of about 247 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 16, first November 19
- Median at 28°F
- last February 14, first December 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 12 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
| 28°F | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 | Jan 2 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 | Dec 17 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Feb 15 | Feb 1 | Jan 19 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 | Dec 17 | Dec 11 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 31 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 14 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 | Jan 26 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 227 | 217 | 210 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 183 | 175 |
| 32°F | 279 | 267 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 240 | 233 | 225 | 214 |
| 28°F | 339 | 325 | 315 | 305 | 297 | 289 | 281 | 272 | 261 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 344 | 338 | 330 | 318 | 306 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 348 | 334 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 72% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 34% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,451
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 390
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,243
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,733
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,499
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,559
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 862
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 732 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 592 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 550 | 0 | 33 |
| April | 411 | 3 | 90 |
| May | 254 | 15 | 232 |
| June | 134 | 34 | 350 |
| July | 26 | 124 | 563 |
| August | 17 | 148 | 597 |
| September | 90 | 61 | 422 |
| October | 323 | 4 | 165 |
| November | 566 | 0 | 28 |
| December | 756 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.7 km from Mulino. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00355681 (Molalla 7NE). Public domain.