Merrill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tulelake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 6 and the first fall freeze around September 14, a growing season of about 97 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 6, first September 14
- Median at 28°F
- last May 16, first September 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 23 | Jun 18 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 25 | May 18 |
| 28°F | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 28 |
| 16°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 30 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
| 28°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
| 16°F | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 89 | 82 | 77 | 72 | 67 | 62 | 56 | 50 | 42 |
| 32°F | 119 | 112 | 107 | 102 | 97 | 93 | 88 | 83 | 75 |
| 28°F | 154 | 146 | 141 | 135 | 131 | 125 | 119 | 113 | 104 |
| 24°F | 183 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 140 |
| 20°F | 213 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 175 | 169 |
| 16°F | 256 | 243 | 236 | 229 | 223 | 219 | 213 | 207 | 198 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,574
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 193
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,744
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,656
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,779
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,078
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 540
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,026 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 844 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 787 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 618 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 375 | 3 | 147 |
| June | 187 | 23 | 294 |
| July | 43 | 97 | 519 |
| August | 61 | 60 | 464 |
| September | 209 | 11 | 263 |
| October | 526 | 0 | 60 |
| November | 828 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,069 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.6 km from Merrill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00049053 (Tulelake). Public domain.