Marion County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Silver Creek Falls. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 174 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last March 30, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 9 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 28 | Apr 20 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Feb 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 | Jan 27 | Jan 8 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Jan 29 | Jan 11 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 | Dec 11 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Feb 20 | Feb 4 | Jan 12 | Dec 30 | Dec 22 | Dec 17 | Dec 9 | Dec 4 | Nov 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 13 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 3 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 8 | Feb 1 | Feb 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 26 | Feb 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 152 | 147 | 142 | 136 | 131 | 126 | 120 | 111 |
| 32°F | 203 | 193 | 186 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 157 | 149 |
| 28°F | 274 | 255 | 245 | 236 | 228 | 220 | 210 | 202 | 190 |
| 24°F | 352 | 337 | 322 | 312 | 304 | 294 | 284 | 272 | 252 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 353 | 340 | 331 | 318 | 309 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 350 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 63% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 27% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,992
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 99
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,635
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,408
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,481
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 796
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 338
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 846 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 724 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 716 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 576 | 0 | 25 |
| May | 392 | 1 | 121 |
| June | 258 | 9 | 209 |
| July | 98 | 43 | 411 |
| August | 100 | 38 | 403 |
| September | 220 | 8 | 243 |
| October | 491 | 0 | 58 |
| November | 705 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 866 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6 km from Marion County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00357809 (Silver Creek Falls). Public domain.