Lake County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Paisley. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 6 and the first fall freeze around September 14, a growing season of about 98 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 6, first September 14
- Median at 28°F
- last May 10, first September 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 28 | Jun 21 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 19 | May 12 |
| 28°F | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 27 | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 |
| 28°F | Sep 12 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 |
| 24°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 27 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 92 | 82 | 76 | 71 | 66 | 59 | 52 | 45 | 38 |
| 32°F | 126 | 116 | 109 | 103 | 98 | 92 | 86 | 79 | 69 |
| 28°F | 161 | 154 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 127 | 119 | 111 |
| 24°F | 193 | 184 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 152 | 145 |
| 20°F | 228 | 217 | 210 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 181 | 173 |
| 16°F | 267 | 255 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 226 | 220 | 211 | 202 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,508
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 244
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,864
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,754
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,860
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,148
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 607
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,009 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 827 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 763 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 602 | 0 | 32 |
| May | 377 | 3 | 148 |
| June | 192 | 23 | 291 |
| July | 44 | 113 | 535 |
| August | 60 | 84 | 490 |
| September | 206 | 19 | 279 |
| October | 530 | 1 | 72 |
| November | 827 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,072 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.8 km from Lake County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00356426 (Paisley). Public domain.