Green Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Roseburg Kqen. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 18, a growing season of about 237 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 23, first November 18
- Median at 28°F
- last February 20, first December 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 16 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 21 | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 11 | Feb 1 | Jan 20 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 26 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Jan 26 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 27 | Dec 19 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Feb 19 | Jan 25 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 22 | Dec 17 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 17 |
| 28°F | Nov 8 | Nov 18 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 7 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Feb 1 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 21 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 208 | 200 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 176 | 170 | 161 |
| 32°F | 278 | 266 | 255 | 246 | 237 | 229 | 222 | 215 | 203 |
| 28°F | 345 | 328 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 289 | 279 | 268 | 253 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 350 | 336 | 321 | 308 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 56% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 17% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 4% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,809
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 690
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,088
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,489
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,155
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,105
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,294
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 667 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 533 | 0 | 20 |
| March | 487 | 0 | 60 |
| April | 353 | 4 | 131 |
| May | 184 | 32 | 316 |
| June | 68 | 83 | 465 |
| July | 8 | 235 | 693 |
| August | 6 | 226 | 685 |
| September | 54 | 100 | 497 |
| October | 267 | 9 | 218 |
| November | 498 | 0 | 49 |
| December | 685 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.9 km from Green. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00357331 (Roseburg Kqen). Public domain.