Durham Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Portland Kgw-TV. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 25 and the first fall freeze around December 1, a growing season of about 280 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 29, first November 12
- Median at 32°F
- last February 25, first December 1
- Median at 28°F
- last January 31, first December 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 13 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 |
| 32°F | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 |
| 28°F | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 | Jan 3 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Feb 18 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 29 | Dec 20 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Feb 18 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 13 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 19 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 25 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 | Jan 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 | Jan 30 | Feb 11 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 | Jan 29 | Feb 3 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 258 | 248 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 216 | 209 | 200 |
| 32°F | 318 | 305 | 295 | 287 | 280 | 272 | 265 | 257 | 245 |
| 28°F | 365 | 354 | 344 | 334 | 329 | 320 | 313 | 306 | 292 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 353 | 344 | 332 | 319 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 342 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 49% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 19% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 5% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,167
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 448
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,532
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,969
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,697
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,713
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 966
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 710 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 570 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 516 | 0 | 42 |
| April | 380 | 3 | 105 |
| May | 217 | 21 | 274 |
| June | 105 | 48 | 393 |
| July | 18 | 145 | 592 |
| August | 13 | 156 | 608 |
| September | 70 | 70 | 450 |
| October | 302 | 4 | 183 |
| November | 542 | 0 | 29 |
| December | 725 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.8 km from Durham. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00356749 (Portland Kgw-TV). Public domain.