Dayton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mcminnville Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last March 3, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 29 | May 21 | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 8 | Mar 26 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Jan 28 |
| 24°F | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 30 | Jan 20 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 23 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Feb 12 | Jan 29 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 25 | Dec 17 | Dec 10 | Nov 30 |
| 16°F | Jan 16 | Jan 8 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 23 | Dec 18 | Dec 13 | Dec 9 | Dec 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 10 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 4 | Jan 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 13 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 172 | 165 | 158 | 152 | 146 | 141 | 134 | 126 |
| 32°F | 230 | 219 | 210 | 202 | 195 | 189 | 182 | 173 | 162 |
| 28°F | 300 | 286 | 275 | 266 | 258 | 250 | 240 | 229 | 217 |
| 24°F | 365 | 354 | 344 | 334 | 327 | 319 | 310 | 297 | 282 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 347 | 338 | 326 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 351 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 45% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 15% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,694
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 284
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,882
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,400
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,240
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,356
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 704
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 736 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 612 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 577 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 448 | 1 | 64 |
| May | 282 | 8 | 201 |
| June | 145 | 25 | 330 |
| July | 30 | 101 | 536 |
| August | 29 | 107 | 543 |
| September | 112 | 40 | 379 |
| October | 369 | 2 | 132 |
| November | 593 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 761 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.4 km from Dayton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094273 (Mcminnville Muni AP). Public domain.