Creswell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cottage Grove 2E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last March 23, first November 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 26 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 22 | Apr 13 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 24°F | Mar 11 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 29 | Jan 12 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Jan 25 | Jan 14 | Jan 4 | Dec 30 | Dec 22 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Jan 26 | Jan 11 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 20 | Dec 13 | Dec 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 7 | Sep 14 | Sep 22 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 16 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 20 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 6 | Jan 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 21 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 19 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 159 | 151 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 128 | 120 | 108 |
| 32°F | 216 | 207 | 197 | 189 | 183 | 176 | 170 | 162 | 151 |
| 28°F | 279 | 266 | 255 | 247 | 239 | 231 | 223 | 215 | 200 |
| 24°F | 352 | 335 | 324 | 314 | 307 | 298 | 286 | 273 | 254 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 353 | 342 | 330 | 316 | 307 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 338 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 62% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 29% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,854
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 225
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,697
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,256
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,107
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,237
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 614
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 752 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 623 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 595 | 0 | 20 |
| April | 459 | 0 | 63 |
| May | 295 | 5 | 188 |
| June | 157 | 22 | 316 |
| July | 40 | 88 | 513 |
| August | 38 | 85 | 511 |
| September | 135 | 24 | 340 |
| October | 386 | 0 | 116 |
| November | 599 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 775 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14 km from Creswell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00351897 (Cottage Grove 2E). Public domain.