Clackamas County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Estacada 2 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 27 and the first fall freeze around November 14, a growing season of about 230 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 27, first November 14
- Median at 28°F
- last February 22, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 14 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 2 |
| 28°F | Mar 20 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 15 |
| 24°F | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 | Dec 24 | Dec 12 |
| 20°F | Feb 14 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 | Dec 25 | Dec 20 | Dec 13 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Jan 23 | Jan 10 | Jan 2 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 | Dec 21 | Dec 18 | Dec 13 | Dec 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 14 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 7 |
| 28°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Jan 2 |
| 24°F | Nov 21 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 18 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 213 | 202 | 196 | 189 | 185 | 179 | 173 | 166 | 158 |
| 32°F | 263 | 253 | 244 | 237 | 230 | 224 | 216 | 209 | 198 |
| 28°F | 326 | 310 | 301 | 292 | 286 | 279 | 271 | 263 | 249 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 357 | 348 | 337 | 331 | 321 | 311 | 299 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 342 | 331 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 35% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 11% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,362
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 356
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,250
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,715
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,472
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,528
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 823
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 710 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 582 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 541 | 0 | 36 |
| April | 408 | 3 | 91 |
| May | 249 | 15 | 239 |
| June | 128 | 38 | 360 |
| July | 28 | 120 | 556 |
| August | 23 | 127 | 569 |
| September | 94 | 50 | 407 |
| October | 325 | 4 | 165 |
| November | 548 | 0 | 29 |
| December | 727 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.8 km from Clackamas County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00352693 (Estacada 2 Se). Public domain.