Central Point Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Medford Rogue Vly AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 204 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 8, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 10, first November 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 17 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
| 24°F | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 23 | Jan 11 | Dec 28 |
| 20°F | Feb 9 | Jan 28 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 27 | Dec 21 | Dec 13 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 25 | Dec 22 | Dec 16 | Dec 11 | Dec 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 16 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 20 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 164 | 160 | 154 | 148 |
| 32°F | 232 | 222 | 215 | 208 | 204 | 197 | 192 | 186 | 176 |
| 28°F | 283 | 268 | 260 | 253 | 247 | 240 | 233 | 225 | 212 |
| 24°F | 343 | 329 | 319 | 311 | 302 | 294 | 285 | 274 | 262 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 352 | 345 | 337 | 331 | 316 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 344 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 66% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 24% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,203
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 908
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,023
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,551
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,326
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,332
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,536
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 764 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 587 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 518 | 0 | 47 |
| April | 369 | 3 | 125 |
| May | 179 | 37 | 327 |
| June | 55 | 112 | 507 |
| July | 4 | 317 | 778 |
| August | 3 | 298 | 759 |
| September | 48 | 131 | 533 |
| October | 288 | 12 | 209 |
| November | 594 | 0 | 24 |
| December | 795 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.6 km from Central Point. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024225 (Medford Rogue Vly AP). Public domain.