Canby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for N Willamette Exp Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 243 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last February 13, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 32°F | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
| 28°F | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Jan 28 | Jan 13 | Dec 30 |
| 24°F | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 | Dec 15 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Feb 14 | Feb 2 | Jan 23 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 17 | Dec 12 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Nov 20 | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 15 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 | Jan 25 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 219 | 209 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 188 | 181 | 174 | 165 |
| 32°F | 275 | 263 | 256 | 249 | 243 | 236 | 229 | 220 | 210 |
| 28°F | 338 | 325 | 315 | 306 | 298 | 289 | 279 | 271 | 258 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 341 | 334 | 326 | 316 | 306 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 352 | 334 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 73% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 33% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 7% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,409
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 374
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,240
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,717
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,490
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,558
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 853
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 719 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 585 | 0 | 7 |
| March | 549 | 0 | 29 |
| April | 416 | 1 | 83 |
| May | 249 | 13 | 236 |
| June | 109 | 40 | 381 |
| July | 21 | 132 | 577 |
| August | 19 | 135 | 581 |
| September | 88 | 51 | 413 |
| October | 342 | 2 | 151 |
| November | 576 | 0 | 22 |
| December | 736 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5 km from Canby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00356151 (N Willamette Exp Stn). Public domain.