Brownsville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Foster Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 12 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 197 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 6
- Median at 32°F
- last April 12, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 9, first November 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 16 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 |
| 24°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 6 | Dec 22 |
| 20°F | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Jan 30 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 24 | Dec 16 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Jan 25 | Jan 12 | Jan 1 | Dec 31 | Dec 22 | Dec 16 | Dec 11 | Dec 5 | Dec 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 20 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 17 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 20 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 6 | Jan 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 182 | 171 | 164 | 159 | 153 | 147 | 141 | 136 | 125 |
| 32°F | 233 | 219 | 210 | 204 | 197 | 191 | 183 | 176 | 165 |
| 28°F | 296 | 280 | 269 | 262 | 252 | 244 | 236 | 227 | 214 |
| 24°F | 357 | 340 | 331 | 321 | 313 | 304 | 293 | 281 | 264 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 343 | 334 | 326 | 311 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 343 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 60% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 22% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,811
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 233
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,733
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,270
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,111
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,242
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 618
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 747 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 620 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 583 | 0 | 25 |
| April | 452 | 1 | 64 |
| May | 302 | 6 | 185 |
| June | 160 | 22 | 313 |
| July | 44 | 86 | 507 |
| August | 43 | 88 | 510 |
| September | 132 | 30 | 349 |
| October | 373 | 1 | 127 |
| November | 593 | 0 | 21 |
| December | 763 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.9 km from Brownsville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00353047 (Foster Dam). Public domain.