Sterling Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Acme Mesonet. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 4 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 210 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 4, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 21, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 |
| 28°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
| 20°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 27 |
| 16°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 | Jan 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 211 | 204 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 169 |
| 32°F | 233 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 199 | 193 | 186 |
| 28°F | 259 | 250 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 215 | 206 |
| 24°F | 284 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 237 | 227 |
| 20°F | 314 | 302 | 294 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 266 | 259 | 247 |
| 16°F | 349 | 336 | 328 | 320 | 313 | 305 | 296 | 288 | 276 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 97% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,424
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,038
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,104
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,592
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,224
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,009
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,948
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 783 | 0 | 22 |
| February | 599 | 2 | 58 |
| March | 412 | 13 | 166 |
| April | 194 | 46 | 324 |
| May | 51 | 173 | 588 |
| June | 0 | 389 | 838 |
| July | 0 | 542 | 1,007 |
| August | 0 | 521 | 985 |
| September | 21 | 270 | 699 |
| October | 172 | 76 | 386 |
| November | 446 | 6 | 125 |
| December | 747 | 0 | 26 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15 km from Sterling. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00340010 (Acme Mesonet). Public domain.