Roland Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ft Smith Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 25 and the first fall freeze around November 6, a growing season of about 224 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 8, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last March 25, first November 6
- Median at 28°F
- last March 11, first November 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 32°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 2 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 24°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 |
| 16°F | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 223 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 183 |
| 32°F | 248 | 240 | 234 | 230 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 202 |
| 28°F | 276 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 233 | 223 |
| 24°F | 306 | 295 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 247 |
| 20°F | 336 | 326 | 317 | 310 | 304 | 299 | 294 | 285 | 273 |
| 16°F | 365 | 360 | 350 | 343 | 337 | 332 | 322 | 311 | 301 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 83% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,098
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,177
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,457
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,904
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,500
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,241
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,134
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 761 | 0 | 25 |
| February | 561 | 1 | 51 |
| March | 369 | 14 | 181 |
| April | 142 | 57 | 373 |
| May | 28 | 197 | 634 |
| June | 0 | 416 | 865 |
| July | 0 | 561 | 1,026 |
| August | 0 | 536 | 1,001 |
| September | 10 | 304 | 744 |
| October | 129 | 81 | 424 |
| November | 407 | 8 | 139 |
| December | 689 | 1 | 36 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.9 km from Roland. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00013964 (Ft Smith Rgnl AP). Public domain.