Purcell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Purcell 2 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 4 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 210 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 17, first October 24
- Median at 32°F
- last April 4, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 23, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 |
| 28°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 24°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 211 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 168 |
| 32°F | 234 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 195 | 187 |
| 28°F | 255 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 215 | 207 |
| 24°F | 280 | 270 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 235 | 224 |
| 20°F | 306 | 297 | 288 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 266 | 259 | 250 |
| 16°F | 335 | 325 | 317 | 310 | 303 | 297 | 290 | 282 | 271 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,295
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,003
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,146
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,620
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,246
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,021
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,938
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 798 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 584 | 1 | 43 |
| March | 392 | 13 | 177 |
| April | 174 | 45 | 334 |
| May | 37 | 161 | 589 |
| June | 1 | 380 | 829 |
| July | 0 | 538 | 1,002 |
| August | 0 | 504 | 968 |
| September | 15 | 275 | 709 |
| October | 134 | 77 | 418 |
| November | 436 | 8 | 130 |
| December | 722 | 0 | 31 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.8 km from Purcell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00347327 (Purcell 2 Sw). Public domain.