Okay Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Muskogee. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 208 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 18, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last March 26, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 209 | 202 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 179 | 173 | 166 |
| 32°F | 232 | 223 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 185 |
| 28°F | 257 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 207 |
| 24°F | 277 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 20°F | 303 | 293 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 256 | 247 |
| 16°F | 334 | 322 | 313 | 307 | 300 | 294 | 286 | 278 | 268 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,598
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,979
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,939
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,460
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,125
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,931
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,885
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 853 | 0 | 17 |
| February | 648 | 1 | 38 |
| March | 441 | 13 | 151 |
| April | 198 | 45 | 319 |
| May | 46 | 170 | 590 |
| June | 2 | 375 | 823 |
| July | 0 | 535 | 1,000 |
| August | 0 | 504 | 969 |
| September | 19 | 265 | 696 |
| October | 171 | 64 | 375 |
| November | 463 | 7 | 118 |
| December | 759 | 1 | 31 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.2 km from Okay. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00346130 (Muskogee). Public domain.