Noble County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Red Rock 7SSE Mesonet. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 202 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 19, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 8, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 203 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 161 |
| 32°F | 228 | 218 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 181 |
| 28°F | 249 | 240 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 200 |
| 24°F | 272 | 264 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 235 | 229 | 220 |
| 20°F | 297 | 287 | 280 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 244 |
| 16°F | 325 | 315 | 306 | 299 | 293 | 287 | 280 | 273 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,876
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,881
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,636
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,192
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,901
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,751
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,745
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 880 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 685 | 1 | 37 |
| March | 472 | 12 | 137 |
| April | 233 | 37 | 285 |
| May | 64 | 158 | 561 |
| June | 1 | 361 | 810 |
| July | 0 | 518 | 982 |
| August | 0 | 488 | 953 |
| September | 25 | 239 | 665 |
| October | 204 | 61 | 346 |
| November | 501 | 6 | 97 |
| December | 810 | 0 | 17 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.8 km from Noble County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00347507 (Red Rock 7SSE Mesonet). Public domain.