Minco Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Minco 2SSW Mesonet. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 3 and the first fall freeze around November 5, a growing season of about 216 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 14, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last April 3, first November 5
- Median at 28°F
- last March 22, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 32°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 28°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
| 24°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 217 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 176 |
| 32°F | 238 | 230 | 225 | 219 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 194 |
| 28°F | 261 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 227 | 221 | 213 |
| 24°F | 283 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 255 | 249 | 242 | 232 |
| 20°F | 312 | 301 | 294 | 287 | 282 | 276 | 270 | 263 | 253 |
| 16°F | 345 | 334 | 324 | 317 | 309 | 302 | 295 | 287 | 277 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,597
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,909
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,849
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,361
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,023
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,834
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,796
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 821 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 636 | 1 | 46 |
| March | 447 | 9 | 139 |
| April | 205 | 35 | 304 |
| May | 51 | 159 | 574 |
| June | 1 | 357 | 807 |
| July | 0 | 519 | 984 |
| August | 0 | 502 | 967 |
| September | 17 | 256 | 689 |
| October | 171 | 67 | 378 |
| November | 473 | 4 | 103 |
| December | 775 | 0 | 19 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.7 km from Minco. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00345870 (Minco 2SSW Mesonet). Public domain.