Mannford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mannford 6 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 207 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 18, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 24, first November 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 199 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 178 | 175 | 169 | 162 |
| 32°F | 230 | 223 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 202 | 196 | 190 | 182 |
| 28°F | 256 | 246 | 239 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 213 | 204 |
| 24°F | 279 | 271 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 222 |
| 20°F | 303 | 294 | 287 | 281 | 276 | 269 | 263 | 256 | 244 |
| 16°F | 329 | 320 | 312 | 305 | 299 | 292 | 286 | 279 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,435
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,943
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,027
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,522
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,161
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,938
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,863
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 808 | 1 | 22 |
| February | 616 | 2 | 49 |
| March | 405 | 19 | 182 |
| April | 175 | 59 | 352 |
| May | 49 | 154 | 571 |
| June | 2 | 356 | 804 |
| July | 0 | 524 | 989 |
| August | 0 | 498 | 962 |
| September | 22 | 257 | 686 |
| October | 161 | 65 | 382 |
| November | 444 | 9 | 133 |
| December | 754 | 1 | 29 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.3 km from Mannford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00345522 (Mannford 6 Nw). Public domain.