Frederick Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tipton 4S Mesonet. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 3 and the first fall freeze around November 6, a growing season of about 217 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 15, first October 29
- Median at 32°F
- last April 3, first November 6
- Median at 28°F
- last March 19, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 27 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 12 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 27 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 |
| 16°F | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Dec 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 3 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 9 | Jan 20 | Feb 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 219 | 212 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 175 |
| 32°F | 242 | 234 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 28°F | 267 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 214 |
| 24°F | 296 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 246 | 234 |
| 20°F | 334 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 290 | 282 | 275 | 263 |
| 16°F | 365 | 355 | 344 | 335 | 328 | 321 | 310 | 303 | 290 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 84% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,263
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,377
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,522
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,990
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,610
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,386
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,312
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 762 | 0 | 17 |
| February | 577 | 2 | 55 |
| March | 384 | 13 | 173 |
| April | 181 | 50 | 336 |
| May | 37 | 238 | 667 |
| June | 0 | 475 | 925 |
| July | 0 | 609 | 1,074 |
| August | 0 | 569 | 1,033 |
| September | 10 | 322 | 762 |
| October | 144 | 93 | 427 |
| November | 443 | 5 | 118 |
| December | 724 | 0 | 24 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.2 km from Frederick. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00348879 (Tipton 4S Mesonet). Public domain.