Erick Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Erick. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 197 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 198 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 158 |
| 32°F | 219 | 212 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 176 |
| 28°F | 242 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 195 |
| 24°F | 265 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 222 | 214 |
| 20°F | 289 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 258 | 253 | 245 | 236 |
| 16°F | 319 | 307 | 300 | 294 | 287 | 281 | 275 | 267 | 258 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,792
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,843
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,627
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,165
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,860
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,703
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,701
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 845 | 0 | 11 |
| February | 668 | 0 | 25 |
| March | 474 | 5 | 123 |
| April | 224 | 31 | 281 |
| May | 58 | 148 | 556 |
| June | 2 | 372 | 820 |
| July | 0 | 515 | 980 |
| August | 0 | 481 | 945 |
| September | 22 | 244 | 672 |
| October | 188 | 45 | 340 |
| November | 502 | 3 | 92 |
| December | 810 | 0 | 14 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from Erick. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00342944 (Erick). Public domain.