Copeland Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Anderson 3W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 194 | 187 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 156 |
| 32°F | 215 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 174 |
| 28°F | 238 | 231 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 24°F | 262 | 254 | 248 | 242 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 221 | 214 |
| 20°F | 286 | 277 | 271 | 266 | 260 | 255 | 250 | 243 | 236 |
| 16°F | 313 | 302 | 295 | 288 | 283 | 277 | 272 | 265 | 257 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,256
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,451
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,943
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,544
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,293
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,198
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,250
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 942 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 734 | 0 | 30 |
| March | 548 | 5 | 91 |
| April | 278 | 19 | 235 |
| May | 103 | 97 | 463 |
| June | 6 | 269 | 714 |
| July | 1 | 424 | 888 |
| August | 1 | 401 | 865 |
| September | 34 | 191 | 608 |
| October | 239 | 41 | 294 |
| November | 532 | 4 | 82 |
| December | 839 | 0 | 16 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 30.6 km from Copeland. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00230163 (Anderson 3W). Public domain.