Central High Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Duncan. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 25 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 225 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 7, first October 30
- Median at 32°F
- last March 25, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last March 11, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 |
| 32°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 3 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 17 | Jan 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 |
| 20°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 227 | 219 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 183 |
| 32°F | 251 | 243 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 222 | 216 | 209 | 200 |
| 28°F | 272 | 265 | 258 | 253 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 223 |
| 24°F | 299 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 245 |
| 20°F | 327 | 315 | 308 | 302 | 296 | 289 | 282 | 274 | 264 |
| 16°F | 361 | 349 | 337 | 329 | 322 | 313 | 306 | 300 | 288 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 93% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,203
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,091
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,312
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,769
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,375
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,128
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,032
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 770 | 0 | 18 |
| February | 583 | 1 | 48 |
| March | 384 | 12 | 179 |
| April | 162 | 48 | 350 |
| May | 33 | 180 | 612 |
| June | 1 | 398 | 847 |
| July | 0 | 544 | 1,009 |
| August | 0 | 527 | 992 |
| September | 14 | 300 | 736 |
| October | 132 | 74 | 416 |
| November | 415 | 6 | 136 |
| December | 708 | 0 | 30 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.1 km from Central High. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00342660 (Duncan). Public domain.