Broken Bow Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Broken Bow 1 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 220 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 13, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 13, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 32°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 217 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 175 |
| 32°F | 244 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 196 |
| 28°F | 271 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 229 | 220 |
| 24°F | 301 | 293 | 284 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 248 |
| 20°F | 335 | 325 | 316 | 309 | 303 | 297 | 292 | 284 | 274 |
| 16°F | 365 | 353 | 345 | 338 | 334 | 328 | 321 | 312 | 302 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 87% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,079
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,927
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,194
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,626
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,211
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,960
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,865
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 749 | 0 | 19 |
| February | 561 | 1 | 52 |
| March | 368 | 10 | 176 |
| April | 160 | 43 | 343 |
| May | 34 | 165 | 597 |
| June | 0 | 354 | 804 |
| July | 0 | 495 | 959 |
| August | 0 | 487 | 951 |
| September | 8 | 289 | 730 |
| October | 143 | 76 | 405 |
| November | 397 | 7 | 137 |
| December | 660 | 1 | 40 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.3 km from Broken Bow. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00341162 (Broken Bow 1 N). Public domain.