Arnett Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Arnett 3NE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around October 27, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first October 27
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 19 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 |
| 32°F | 214 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 173 |
| 28°F | 236 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 24°F | 258 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 209 |
| 20°F | 283 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 239 | 230 |
| 16°F | 312 | 300 | 292 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,456
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,477
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,833
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,465
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,249
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,180
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,253
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 947 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 757 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 563 | 3 | 91 |
| April | 314 | 16 | 205 |
| May | 101 | 95 | 462 |
| June | 9 | 289 | 730 |
| July | 1 | 438 | 902 |
| August | 3 | 412 | 874 |
| September | 43 | 193 | 602 |
| October | 243 | 30 | 286 |
| November | 580 | 2 | 73 |
| December | 896 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6 km from Arnett. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00340332 (Arnett 3NE). Public domain.