West Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Youngstown Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 167 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 16, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 20°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 165 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 134 | 128 | 121 |
| 32°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 157 | 151 | 145 |
| 28°F | 217 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 184 | 178 | 167 |
| 24°F | 241 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 200 |
| 20°F | 268 | 259 | 253 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 220 |
| 16°F | 290 | 281 | 276 | 270 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 250 | 242 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,090
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 633
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,034
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,865
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,840
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,954
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,211
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,184 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 1,008 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 863 | 1 | 29 |
| April | 484 | 7 | 109 |
| May | 222 | 43 | 305 |
| June | 52 | 127 | 525 |
| July | 9 | 211 | 666 |
| August | 17 | 170 | 618 |
| September | 119 | 65 | 399 |
| October | 408 | 9 | 143 |
| November | 705 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 1,020 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.2 km from West Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014852 (Youngstown Rgnl AP). Public domain.