Wellston Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jackson 3 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 21, a growing season of about 181 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 21
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 |
| 24°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 139 |
| 32°F | 201 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 167 | 159 |
| 28°F | 226 | 219 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 185 |
| 24°F | 253 | 244 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 209 |
| 20°F | 278 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 236 | 229 |
| 16°F | 301 | 294 | 288 | 282 | 276 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,565
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 676
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,366
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,138
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,055
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,111
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,311
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,119 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 930 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 757 | 2 | 44 |
| April | 393 | 11 | 159 |
| May | 179 | 46 | 343 |
| June | 32 | 133 | 551 |
| July | 5 | 221 | 680 |
| August | 10 | 185 | 640 |
| September | 94 | 71 | 430 |
| October | 386 | 8 | 156 |
| November | 689 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 972 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.7 km from Wellston. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00334004 (Jackson 3 Nw). Public domain.