Warren County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Franklin. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 178 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 10 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 177 | 171 | 165 | 161 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 137 |
| 32°F | 197 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 163 | 157 |
| 28°F | 219 | 212 | 207 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 178 |
| 24°F | 249 | 240 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 202 |
| 20°F | 274 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 223 |
| 16°F | 302 | 293 | 285 | 280 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 254 | 246 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,409
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 956
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,741
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,502
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,407
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,450
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,632
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,104 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 927 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 742 | 1 | 41 |
| April | 399 | 9 | 148 |
| May | 150 | 68 | 390 |
| June | 19 | 203 | 634 |
| July | 2 | 301 | 764 |
| August | 4 | 255 | 716 |
| September | 77 | 107 | 481 |
| October | 355 | 12 | 176 |
| November | 671 | 0 | 39 |
| December | 961 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.1 km from Warren County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00332928 (Franklin). Public domain.