Vandalia Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dayton Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 27, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 28°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 153 |
| 32°F | 213 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 175 |
| 28°F | 237 | 229 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 196 |
| 24°F | 260 | 252 | 246 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 227 | 223 | 216 |
| 20°F | 284 | 276 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 249 | 242 | 232 |
| 16°F | 308 | 298 | 291 | 285 | 280 | 274 | 268 | 262 | 253 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,149
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,154
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,167
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,895
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,757
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,750
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,881
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,102 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 900 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 712 | 2 | 54 |
| April | 354 | 15 | 182 |
| May | 125 | 94 | 438 |
| June | 13 | 242 | 679 |
| July | 1 | 341 | 806 |
| August | 3 | 296 | 758 |
| September | 58 | 139 | 532 |
| October | 300 | 23 | 228 |
| November | 629 | 1 | 54 |
| December | 952 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Vandalia. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093815 (Dayton Intl AP). Public domain.