Summerside Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cincinnati Lunken AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 16 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 190 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 16, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 186 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 147 |
| 32°F | 210 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 168 |
| 28°F | 235 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 201 | 193 |
| 24°F | 265 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 219 |
| 20°F | 292 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 239 |
| 16°F | 319 | 309 | 301 | 296 | 291 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 263 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,804
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,125
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,247
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,931
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,763
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,737
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,859
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,020 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 830 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 653 | 2 | 56 |
| April | 326 | 12 | 190 |
| May | 113 | 84 | 438 |
| June | 12 | 229 | 667 |
| July | 1 | 340 | 804 |
| August | 2 | 305 | 769 |
| September | 52 | 136 | 534 |
| October | 295 | 18 | 221 |
| November | 612 | 0 | 50 |
| December | 890 | 0 | 13 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.3 km from Summerside. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093812 (Cincinnati Lunken AP). Public domain.