Shawnee Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for New Lexington 2 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 168 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 28°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
| 16°F | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 |
| 16°F | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 167 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 138 | 131 |
| 32°F | 186 | 180 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 149 |
| 28°F | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 170 |
| 24°F | 234 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 196 |
| 20°F | 262 | 254 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 217 |
| 16°F | 289 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 235 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,864
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 679
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,208
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,018
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,967
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,059
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,291
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,165 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 979 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 813 | 0 | 29 |
| April | 450 | 5 | 119 |
| May | 197 | 42 | 323 |
| June | 36 | 137 | 551 |
| July | 4 | 224 | 685 |
| August | 9 | 189 | 645 |
| September | 98 | 74 | 429 |
| October | 396 | 8 | 149 |
| November | 713 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 1,004 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.3 km from Shawnee. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00335857 (New Lexington 2 Nw). Public domain.