Monroe County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hannibal Locks & Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 15
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 141 |
| 32°F | 199 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 162 |
| 28°F | 223 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 184 |
| 24°F | 249 | 242 | 236 | 232 | 228 | 224 | 221 | 215 | 210 |
| 20°F | 280 | 271 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 237 | 231 |
| 16°F | 305 | 297 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 253 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,507
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 743
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,419
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,193
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,113
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,180
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,387
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,105 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 924 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 780 | 0 | 28 |
| April | 428 | 4 | 123 |
| May | 183 | 41 | 334 |
| June | 30 | 140 | 560 |
| July | 2 | 239 | 702 |
| August | 4 | 218 | 679 |
| September | 70 | 91 | 472 |
| October | 348 | 10 | 177 |
| November | 675 | 0 | 29 |
| December | 958 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.7 km from Monroe County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00333500 (Hannibal Locks & Dam). Public domain.