Lyons Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Morenci. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 14, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 24°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 148 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 117 |
| 32°F | 174 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 142 | 134 |
| 28°F | 197 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 163 | 156 |
| 24°F | 222 | 215 | 209 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 180 |
| 20°F | 247 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 205 |
| 16°F | 270 | 262 | 256 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,637
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 626
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,781
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,688
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,727
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,897
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,188
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,277 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,096 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 921 | 1 | 17 |
| April | 547 | 2 | 70 |
| May | 230 | 37 | 293 |
| June | 38 | 143 | 555 |
| July | 8 | 217 | 674 |
| August | 17 | 164 | 612 |
| September | 134 | 56 | 377 |
| October | 461 | 5 | 113 |
| November | 788 | 0 | 14 |
| December | 1,121 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.3 km from Lyons. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00205603 (Morenci). Public domain.