Luckey Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bowling Green Wwtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 186 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 144 |
| 32°F | 205 | 198 | 193 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 166 |
| 28°F | 228 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 194 | 188 |
| 24°F | 252 | 245 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 210 |
| 20°F | 277 | 269 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 299 | 290 | 284 | 279 | 273 | 268 | 263 | 256 | 248 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,012
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 878
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,387
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,218
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,188
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,289
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,519
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,212 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,026 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 860 | 1 | 22 |
| April | 486 | 6 | 100 |
| May | 191 | 59 | 344 |
| June | 24 | 197 | 622 |
| July | 2 | 281 | 744 |
| August | 8 | 223 | 680 |
| September | 88 | 97 | 461 |
| October | 369 | 15 | 174 |
| November | 707 | 0 | 32 |
| December | 1,040 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.8 km from Luckey. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00330862 (Bowling Green Wwtp). Public domain.