Lockland Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cheviot. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 191 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 17, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 4, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 28°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 149 |
| 32°F | 211 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 176 | 168 |
| 28°F | 237 | 229 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 201 | 193 |
| 24°F | 261 | 252 | 245 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 220 | 213 |
| 20°F | 287 | 278 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 232 |
| 16°F | 310 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 283 | 277 | 272 | 265 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,143
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,099
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,118
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,843
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,702
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,691
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,824
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,091 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 886 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 708 | 3 | 57 |
| April | 348 | 15 | 190 |
| May | 129 | 88 | 429 |
| June | 15 | 223 | 658 |
| July | 1 | 324 | 787 |
| August | 3 | 291 | 753 |
| September | 60 | 134 | 526 |
| October | 310 | 20 | 222 |
| November | 640 | 1 | 51 |
| December | 952 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.5 km from Lockland. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00331515 (Cheviot). Public domain.