Lakeside Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sandusky. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around November 5, a growing season of about 209 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 26
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first November 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 |
| 24°F | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 167 |
| 32°F | 227 | 221 | 216 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 190 |
| 28°F | 253 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 211 |
| 24°F | 274 | 266 | 261 | 257 | 252 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 229 |
| 20°F | 297 | 289 | 282 | 277 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 248 |
| 16°F | 316 | 307 | 302 | 296 | 292 | 287 | 282 | 277 | 267 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,653
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 953
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,609
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,404
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,338
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,411
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,615
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,144 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 974 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 839 | 1 | 23 |
| April | 479 | 8 | 103 |
| May | 187 | 58 | 343 |
| June | 23 | 196 | 622 |
| July | 1 | 303 | 767 |
| August | 3 | 256 | 718 |
| September | 62 | 113 | 502 |
| October | 319 | 18 | 203 |
| November | 647 | 1 | 43 |
| December | 975 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.7 km from Lakeside. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014846 (Sandusky). Public domain.