Greenwich Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mansfield Lahm Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 177 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 9
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 136 |
| 32°F | 198 | 191 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 164 | 158 |
| 28°F | 221 | 214 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 180 |
| 24°F | 245 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 210 | 202 |
| 20°F | 267 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 239 | 233 | 229 | 223 |
| 16°F | 290 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 248 | 240 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,983
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 751
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,271
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,090
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,047
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,140
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,371
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,192 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 1,005 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 844 | 1 | 30 |
| April | 468 | 7 | 117 |
| May | 199 | 55 | 334 |
| June | 38 | 158 | 570 |
| July | 5 | 239 | 699 |
| August | 11 | 197 | 651 |
| September | 101 | 81 | 433 |
| October | 386 | 12 | 165 |
| November | 705 | 0 | 35 |
| December | 1,029 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 23.3 km from Greenwich. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014891 (Mansfield Lahm Muni AP). Public domain.