Fairfield Beach Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Newark Heath AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around October 18, a growing season of about 178 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first October 18
- Median at 28°F
- last April 8, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 135 |
| 32°F | 198 | 192 | 186 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 157 |
| 28°F | 223 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 196 | 190 | 182 |
| 24°F | 251 | 243 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 208 |
| 20°F | 277 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 230 |
| 16°F | 303 | 293 | 286 | 281 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 259 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,231
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 961
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,863
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,595
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,470
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,491
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,653
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,088 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 906 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 722 | 1 | 44 |
| April | 368 | 9 | 165 |
| May | 136 | 78 | 411 |
| June | 15 | 212 | 646 |
| July | 1 | 302 | 766 |
| August | 4 | 241 | 702 |
| September | 70 | 102 | 483 |
| October | 337 | 16 | 192 |
| November | 647 | 0 | 39 |
| December | 936 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.9 km from Fairfield Beach. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00004858 (Newark Heath AP). Public domain.