Dayton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Dayton Mcd. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 189 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 6, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 187 | 181 | 176 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 155 | 150 |
| 32°F | 209 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 175 | 168 |
| 28°F | 230 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 190 |
| 24°F | 258 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 220 | 214 |
| 20°F | 280 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 232 |
| 16°F | 302 | 294 | 288 | 283 | 278 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 252 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,432
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,191
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,058
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,827
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,725
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,749
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,905
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,141 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 941 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 757 | 2 | 48 |
| April | 380 | 15 | 174 |
| May | 133 | 99 | 438 |
| June | 16 | 255 | 690 |
| July | 1 | 349 | 812 |
| August | 3 | 308 | 770 |
| September | 67 | 142 | 526 |
| October | 336 | 20 | 205 |
| November | 674 | 0 | 43 |
| December | 984 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.5 km from Dayton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00332067 (Dayton Mcd). Public domain.