Celina Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Celina 3 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 27, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 171 | 165 | 160 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 140 | 132 |
| 32°F | 195 | 188 | 183 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 154 |
| 28°F | 218 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 179 |
| 24°F | 245 | 237 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 208 | 201 |
| 20°F | 269 | 261 | 253 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 222 |
| 16°F | 290 | 280 | 274 | 269 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 238 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,789
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 865
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,537
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,341
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,272
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,334
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,528
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,203 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 988 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 799 | 1 | 34 |
| April | 423 | 9 | 137 |
| May | 160 | 70 | 383 |
| June | 24 | 191 | 616 |
| July | 4 | 262 | 724 |
| August | 10 | 213 | 668 |
| September | 83 | 105 | 474 |
| October | 349 | 14 | 192 |
| November | 702 | 0 | 36 |
| December | 1,045 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.6 km from Celina. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00331390 (Celina 3 Ne). Public domain.