Bryan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bryan 2 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 170 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 134 |
| 32°F | 190 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 167 | 162 | 157 | 150 |
| 28°F | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 175 |
| 24°F | 238 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 198 |
| 20°F | 264 | 254 | 248 | 243 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 217 |
| 16°F | 287 | 279 | 272 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,303
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 779
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,139
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,012
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,015
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,144
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,394
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,258 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,072 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 877 | 1 | 21 |
| April | 506 | 3 | 87 |
| May | 195 | 47 | 331 |
| June | 25 | 170 | 596 |
| July | 3 | 268 | 730 |
| August | 11 | 200 | 654 |
| September | 103 | 80 | 430 |
| October | 404 | 9 | 149 |
| November | 765 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 1,085 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.5 km from Bryan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00331042 (Bryan 2 Se). Public domain.