Bradford Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Piqua Wwtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 23, a growing season of about 186 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 23
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 14 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 184 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 145 |
| 32°F | 206 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 183 | 178 | 172 | 164 |
| 28°F | 230 | 223 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 188 |
| 24°F | 257 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 219 | 213 |
| 20°F | 283 | 274 | 269 | 263 | 258 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 235 |
| 16°F | 308 | 298 | 291 | 286 | 281 | 276 | 269 | 263 | 254 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,406
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 953
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,789
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,549
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,450
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,482
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,645
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,138 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 923 | 0 | 8 |
| March | 741 | 2 | 43 |
| April | 381 | 9 | 159 |
| May | 130 | 77 | 417 |
| June | 14 | 198 | 633 |
| July | 3 | 294 | 756 |
| August | 5 | 238 | 697 |
| September | 71 | 117 | 497 |
| October | 343 | 17 | 192 |
| November | 658 | 1 | 40 |
| December | 1,000 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.7 km from Bradford. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00336650 (Piqua Wwtp). Public domain.