Bainbridge Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waverly. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 1, first October 12
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 32°F | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 176 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 142 |
| 32°F | 203 | 197 | 192 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 161 |
| 28°F | 227 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 189 | 180 |
| 24°F | 251 | 243 | 237 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 205 |
| 20°F | 280 | 270 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 226 |
| 16°F | 309 | 298 | 290 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 264 | 258 | 249 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,089
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,080
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,049
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,769
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,634
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,643
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,792
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,063 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 872 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 702 | 2 | 48 |
| April | 354 | 15 | 182 |
| May | 130 | 83 | 424 |
| June | 14 | 227 | 663 |
| July | 1 | 326 | 790 |
| August | 4 | 280 | 741 |
| September | 65 | 128 | 514 |
| October | 327 | 19 | 203 |
| November | 645 | 0 | 42 |
| December | 912 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.2 km from Bainbridge. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00338830 (Waverly). Public domain.