Avon Center Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elyria 3 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 9, first November 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 28°F | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 189 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 147 |
| 32°F | 213 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 171 |
| 28°F | 238 | 230 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 196 |
| 24°F | 260 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 215 |
| 20°F | 283 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 235 |
| 16°F | 304 | 296 | 290 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 270 | 264 | 256 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,436
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 963
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,740
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,510
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,420
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,466
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,646
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,119 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 946 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 790 | 3 | 39 |
| April | 424 | 14 | 143 |
| May | 161 | 70 | 379 |
| June | 27 | 195 | 618 |
| July | 1 | 305 | 769 |
| August | 3 | 250 | 711 |
| September | 62 | 110 | 499 |
| October | 313 | 17 | 206 |
| November | 632 | 1 | 44 |
| December | 958 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.2 km from Avon Center. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00332599 (Elyria 3 E). Public domain.