Amherst Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Elyria Lorain CO AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 182 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 24°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 |
| 20°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 19 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 139 |
| 32°F | 204 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 160 |
| 28°F | 229 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 185 |
| 24°F | 254 | 246 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 209 |
| 20°F | 279 | 269 | 262 | 258 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 298 | 290 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,045
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 690
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,125
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,955
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,930
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,041
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,289
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,187 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 1,015 | 0 | 3 |
| March | 868 | 1 | 24 |
| April | 497 | 6 | 99 |
| May | 215 | 48 | 314 |
| June | 39 | 156 | 567 |
| July | 5 | 230 | 690 |
| August | 14 | 171 | 622 |
| September | 103 | 67 | 416 |
| October | 386 | 11 | 157 |
| November | 701 | 0 | 31 |
| December | 1,015 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.8 km from Amherst. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00004849 (Elyria Lorain CO AP). Public domain.