Minot Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Minot Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 10 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 144 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 22
- Median at 32°F
- last May 10, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 6 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 24°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 143 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 127 | 123 | 120 | 115 | 108 |
| 32°F | 163 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 126 |
| 28°F | 183 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 150 | 142 |
| 24°F | 201 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 162 |
| 20°F | 218 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 185 | 179 |
| 16°F | 235 | 229 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 206 | 201 | 195 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,382
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 552
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,278
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,294
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,425
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,673
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,043
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,586 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,334 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,108 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 646 | 1 | 48 |
| May | 297 | 21 | 232 |
| June | 74 | 90 | 468 |
| July | 16 | 206 | 656 |
| August | 28 | 185 | 622 |
| September | 194 | 47 | 320 |
| October | 605 | 2 | 70 |
| November | 1,045 | 0 | 6 |
| December | 1,449 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3 km from Minot. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024013 (Minot Intl AP). Public domain.