Medora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Medora. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 19 and the first fall freeze around September 20, a growing season of about 123 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 29, first September 8
- Median at 32°F
- last May 19, first September 20
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first September 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 13 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 |
| 32°F | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 |
| 32°F | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
| 24°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 20°F | Sep 29 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 16°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 120 | 115 | 110 | 106 | 102 | 99 | 95 | 90 | 82 |
| 32°F | 142 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 104 |
| 28°F | 163 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 130 | 124 |
| 24°F | 181 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 148 | 141 |
| 20°F | 203 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 163 |
| 16°F | 224 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 183 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,419
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 484
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,000
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,039
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,208
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,502
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 920
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,534 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,266 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,053 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 676 | 1 | 37 |
| May | 363 | 10 | 176 |
| June | 110 | 62 | 405 |
| July | 22 | 200 | 643 |
| August | 43 | 173 | 596 |
| September | 230 | 38 | 288 |
| October | 659 | 2 | 55 |
| November | 1,043 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,423 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from Medora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00325813 (Medora). Public domain.